Tropical Depression TWO-E

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
9 AM PDT FRI JUL 02 2004

THE CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IN THE
EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC HAS DEVELOPED ENOUGH ORGANIZED CONVECTION
NEAR THE CENTER AND THE SYSTEM IS BEING CLASSIFIED AS A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION. THE DEPRESSION IS ALREADY MOVING OVER COOL WATERS SO
ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS NOT ANTICIPATED. IN FACT...THE SYSTEM
IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW IN ABOUT 36 HOURS OR LESS.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 7 KNOTS.
A TURN MORE TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED AS THE SYSTEM WEAKENS AND
BECOME STEERED BY THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW. 

FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      02/1600Z 16.5N 119.7W    25 KT
 12HR VT     03/0000Z 16.5N 121.0W    25 KT
 24HR VT     03/1200Z 16.5N 123.0W    25 KT
 36HR VT     04/0000Z 16.5N 125.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 48HR VT     04/1200Z 16.5N 127.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 72HR VT     05/1200Z 16.5N 130.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 
 
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