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Hurricane OLAF

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TROPICAL STORM OLAF INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  16A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM PDT MON OCT 06 2003
 
...OLAF VERY NEAR THE COASTLINE...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO
CABO CORRIENTES.
 
AT 11 PM PDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLAF WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH... LONGITUDE 104.6 WEST OR ABOUT 20
MILES...35 KM...WEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO.
 
OLAF IS MOVING ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 3 MPH ...6KM/HR...
AND A MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF OLAF WILL
MOVE INLAND DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
 
IMAGES FROM THE CUYUTLAN RADAR SUGGEST THAT OLAF HAS STRENGTHENED 
AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS.  OLAF SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN AFTER IT CROSSES THE
COAST.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  45 MILES
... 75 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  994 MB...29.35 INCHES.
 
ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...ALONG WITH LARGE AND BATTERING WAVES...ARE
OCCURRING ALONG THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA.
 
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH OLAF. THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 11 PM PDT POSITION...19.0 N...104.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR  3 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
2 AM PDT.
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
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