Hurricane MARTY

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HURRICANE MARTY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  16A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM PDT MON SEP 22 2003
 
...MARTY MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA
PENINSULA...
 
HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM LORETO TO BAHIA SAN JUAN
BAUTISTA ON THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND FROM TOPOLOBAMPO
TO BAHIA KINO ON MAINLAND MEXICO.
 
AT 5 PM PDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARTY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.1 WEST.  THIS POSITION IS ALONG
THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA JUST SOUTH OF SANTA ROSALIA
MEXICO.
 
MARTY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 23 MPH...37 KM/HR. A
GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR NORTH...WITH A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED...IS EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT OR TUESDAY MORNING. ON
THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARTY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER THE
NOETHWEST COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO ON TUESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR  75 MPH... 
120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  A WIND GUST TO 46 MPH...74 KM/HR...WAS RECENTLY
REPORTED AT SANTA ROSALIA MEXICO.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  35 MILES... 55 KM...
MAINLY SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  987 MB...29.15 INCHES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS
STILL EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREAS.  STORM SURGE FLOODING
ELSEWHERE WHERE WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED SHOULD BE SUBSIDING
TODAY.
 
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...
ARE LIKELY NEAR THE PATH OF THE HURRICANE.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
THERE IS A CHANCE OF SOME RAINFALL SPREADING NORTHWARD OVER THE
EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
 
REPEATING THE 5 PM PDT POSITION...27.2 N...112.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 23 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 75 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 987 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER 
AT 8 PM PDT.
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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