Tropical Storm LARRY

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TROPICAL STORM LARRY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  11A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
7 AM CDT SAT OCT 04 2003

...LARRY CONTINUING TO MEANDER OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT
ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM TUXPAN TO CAMPECHE.
 
AT 7 AM CDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LARRY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  93.9 WEST OR ABOUT 145
MILES...235 KM...EAST OF VERACRUZ MEXICO. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 85
MILES...140 KM...NORTHWEST OF CIUDAD DEL CARMEN MEXICO.
 
LARRY HAS BEEN MOVING LITTLE DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...BUT A
SLOW DRIFT TO THE SOUTH OR SOUTHEAST IS POSSIBLE LATER TODAY.  THIS
MOTION WOULD BRING LARRY CLOSER TO THE COAST OF MEXICO.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES
...185 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.
 
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES ARE ESTIMATED TO
BE OCCURRING AT THIS TIME. AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 3 FEET OF STORM SURGE
CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE CENTER WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA AS LARRY MOVES CLOSER TO THE COAST.
 
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH LARRY ARE ALSO POSSIBLE
OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOOD AND MUDSLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 7 AM CDT POSITION...19.4 N... 93.9 W. MOVEMENT...
NEARLY STATIONARY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.  MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER 
AT 10 AM CDT.
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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