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Tropical Depression TWELVE

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   6A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 AM EDT FRI SEP 05 2003
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA
FROM ENGLEWOOD NORTHWARD TO THE AUCILLA RIVER.
 
AT 2 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  85.2 WEST OR ABOUT
170 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF BAYPORT FLORIDA.  THIS POSITION IS ALSO
ABOUT 145 MILES SOUTH OF APALACHICOLA.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR  7 MPH.  A GRADUAL
TURN TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  35 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...
MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.  THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO
BECOME A TROPICAL STORM DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
 
WHILE THE RAIN HAS TEMPORARILY ABATED OVER FLORIDA...RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...
CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT
DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES ACROSS FLORIDA.  DUE TO SATURATED GROUND
CONDITIONS AND HIGH RIVER STAGES...THESE HEAVY RAINS COULD RESULT
IN EXTREME FLOODING.
 
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE SOUTH OF WHERE THE CENTER
MAKES LANDFALL.
 
REPEATING THE 2 AM EDT POSITION...27.6 N... 85.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST NEAR  7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM EDT.
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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