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Tropical Depression TWELVE

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   5A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
7 PM CDT THU SEP 04 2003
 
...RAINY TROPICAL DEPRESSION HEADING FOR THE FLORIDA GULF COAST...

AT 7 PM CDT...0000Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED FROM WEST OF THE AUCILLA RIVER WESTWARD TO 
INDIAN PASS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM ENGLEWOOD NORTHWARD TO THE AUCILLA RIVER.
 
AT 7 PM CDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 85.8 WEST OR ABOUT 
200 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF BAYPORT FLORIDA. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 
150 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR  7 MPH.  A GRADUAL
TURN TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  35 MPH...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.  THE DEPRESSION IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT OR TOMORROW.
 
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
 
MOST OF THE HEAVY RAINS WITH THE DEPRESSION ARE LOCATED WELL TO THE
EAST OF THE CENTER...AND THESE RAINS ARE ALREADY AFFECTING PORTIONS
OF THE FLORIDA GULF COAST. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15
INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THE DEPRESSION. DUE TO SATURATED GROUND CONDITIONS
AND HIGH RIVER STAGES...THESE HEAVY RAINS COULD RESULT IN EXTREME
FLOODING.
 
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE SOUTH OF WHERE THE CENTER
MAKES LANDFALL.
 
REPEATING THE 7 PM CDT POSITION...27.7 N... 85.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST NEAR  7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER 
AT 10 PM CDT.
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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