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Tropical Depression TWELVE

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   2A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1 AM CDT THU SEP 04 2003
 
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA
FROM ENGLEWOOD NORTHWARD TO INDIAN PASS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
AT 1 AM CDT...0600Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TWELVE WAS LOCATED BY A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE NEAR
LATITUDE 27.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.6 WEST OR ABOUT 205 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA.
 
THE DEPRESSION HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...BUT A SLOW NORTHEASTWARD
OR EAST-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24
HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...MAINLY IN ISOLATED SQUALLS
TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.  SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AND
THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
 
THE RECONNAISANCE PLANE REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1012
MB...29.88 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE DEPRESSION.
 
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE SOUTH OF WHERE THE CENTER
MAKES LANDFALL.
 
REPEATING THE 1 AM CDT POSITION...27.7 N... 87.6 W.  MOVEMENT
NEARLY STATIONARY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH.  MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 4 AM CDT.
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
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