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Tropical Depression TWELVE

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BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT THU SEP 04 2003

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE GETTING A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA
FROM ENGLEWOOD NORTHWARD TO THE AUCILLA RIVER.
 
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE 
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  85.5 WEST OR 
ABOUT 185 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF BAYPORT FLORIDA. THIS IS ALSO
ABOUT 145 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA..
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR  7 MPH.  A GRADUAL
TURN TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  35 MPH...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.  THE DEPRESSION IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON FRIDAY.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
 
MOST OF THE HEAVY RAINS WITH THE DEPRESSION ARE LOCATED WELL TO THE
EAST OF THE CENTER...AND THESE RAINS ARE ALREADY AFFECTING PORTIONS
OF THE FLORIDA GULF COAST.  RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15
INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THE DEPRESSION. DUE TO SATURATED GROUND CONDITIONS
AND HIGH RIVER STAGES...THESE HEAVY RAINS COULD RESULT IN EXTREME
FLOODING.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE SOUTH OF WHERE THE CENTER
MAKES LANDFALL.
 
REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...27.7 N... 85.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST NEAR  7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 AM CDT.
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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