Hurricane ISABEL

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HURRICANE ISABEL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  41
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST TUE SEP 16 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF ISABEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  70.7 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST FRI SEP 19 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
29.0N  72.1W      50  1  X  X 51   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  2 12  4 18
30.7N  73.2W      23  6  X  X 29   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  1 12  4 17
33.0N  74.7W       X 15  6  1 22   NORFOLK VA         X  X  6  9 15
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  1  3  4   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  1 10 11
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  4  4  8   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  8  8
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  1  7  5 13   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  5  5
WILMINGTON NC      X  1 11  4 16   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM WED TO  2PM WED
C FROM  2PM WED TO  2AM THU
D FROM  2AM THU TO  2AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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