Hurricane ISABEL
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HURRICANE ISABEL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST THU SEP 11 2003
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF ISABEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 55.3 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM AST SUN SEP 14 2003
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
21.9N 58.6W 56 X X X 56 TIST 183N 650W X X 1 2 3
22.4N 60.5W 15 21 X X 36 TJSJ 184N 661W X X X 3 3
22.9N 62.3W X 20 6 1 27 ST CROIX VI X X X 2 2
TNCM 181N 631W X X 1 2 3 ST THOMAS VI X X 1 2 3
TISX 177N 648W X X X 2 2 SAN JUAN PR X X X 3 3
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM FRI TO 2AM SAT
C FROM 2AM SAT TO 2PM SAT
D FROM 2PM SAT TO 2PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER PASCH
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