Hurricane ISABEL

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HURRICANE ISABEL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST MON SEP 08 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF ISABEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  43.7 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST THU SEP 11 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
19.2N  47.9W      47  X  X  X 47   TBPB 131N 595W     X  X  X  2  2
19.5N  50.0W      21 12  X  X 33   TFFR 163N 615W     X  X  X  2  2
19.5N  52.0W       X 21  4  1 26   TAPA 171N 618W     X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM TUE TO  2AM WED
C FROM  2AM WED TO  2PM WED
D FROM  2PM WED TO  2PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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