Hurricane PATRICIA

ZCZC MIATCMEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP162003
0300Z FRI OCT 24 2003
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 112.7W AT 24/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE  50SW  50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 112.7W AT 24/0300Z
AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 112.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 14.3N 113.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 15.3N 114.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 16.5N 115.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 17.5N 116.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 19.0N 117.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 20.0N 119.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 20.5N 120.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N 112.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
NNNN