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Hurricane OLAF

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TROPICAL STORM OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP152003
2100Z MON OCT 06 2003
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO
CABO CORRIENTES.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 104.5W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  30SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 104.5W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 104.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 19.0N 104.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 30NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 20.0N 105.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  50SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 21.3N 105.6W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 23.0N 106.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 26.5N 106.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N 104.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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