Hurricane NORA

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HURRICANE NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP142003
1500Z SUN OCT 05 2003
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 113.5W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  973 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 113.5W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 113.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 19.9N 113.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 20.7N 114.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 21.5N 114.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 22.3N 113.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 24.0N 113.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  40SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 25.5N 112.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 28.0N 110.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N 113.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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