Hurricane NORA

ZCZC MIATCMEP4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP142003
1500Z SAT OCT 04 2003
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 111.8W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 111.8W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 111.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 18.0N 112.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 19.3N 113.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 20.2N 113.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 20.8N 114.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 21.5N 114.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 21.9N 114.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 22.4N 114.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 111.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z
 
FORECASTER KNABB/STEWART
 
 
NNNN