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Tropical Storm KEVIN

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION KEVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112003
0300Z FRI SEP 05 2003
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 115.6W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 115.6W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 115.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 22.8N 116.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 23.4N 118.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 24.0N 120.2W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 24.2N 122.3W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 24.1N 124.7W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 24.1N 127.7W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  15 KT...GUSTS  20 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.1N 115.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN
 
 
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