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Hurricane JIMENA

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TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP102003
1500Z FRI AUG 29 2003
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 136.4W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 35NE  25SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT....... 65NE  55SE  55SW  65NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 136.4W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 135.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 17.4N 138.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 17.8N 141.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  35SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT... 75NE  45SE  45SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 17.9N 144.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  35SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT... 75NE  45SE  45SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 17.9N 147.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  35SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT... 75NE  45SE  45SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 18.0N 153.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT... 75NE  45SE  45SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 18.0N 158.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 18.0N 162.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N 136.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA/ROBERTS
 
 
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