Tropical Depression FOUR-E

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP042003
0900Z SUN JUL 06 2003
 
CORRECTION TO 36 HOUR FORECAST POSITION

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 116.4W AT 06/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 100 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 116.4W AT 06/0900Z
AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 116.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 14.7N 117.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 15.4N 119.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 16.1N 121.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 16.8N 123.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 18.0N 126.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 19.0N 129.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N 116.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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