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Tropical Depression TWO-E

ZCZC MIATCMEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP022003
0300Z TUE JUN 17 2003
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 103.1W AT 17/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 103.1W AT 17/0300Z
AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 103.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 17.1N 103.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 17.6N 103.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 18.1N 104.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 18.5N 105.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 18.5N 106.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 18.5N 108.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 18.5N 109.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N 103.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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