Tropical Storm LARRY
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TROPICAL STORM LARRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172003
0900Z SAT OCT 04 2003
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT ALONG
THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM TUXPAN TO CAMPECHE.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 94.0W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT NEARLY STATIONARY
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT.......100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 150SE 100SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 94.0W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 94.0W
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 19.3N 94.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 18.9N 94.1W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 18.5N 94.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT...100NE 50SE 50SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 18.1N 94.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 50SE 50SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 17.8N 94.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 17.6N 94.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 17.0N 95.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N 94.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z
FORECASTER AVILA
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