Tropical Storm LARRY

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TROPICAL STORM LARRY SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL172003
0000Z THU OCT 02 2003
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N  93.5W AT 02/0000Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE   0SE  75SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE  75SE 200SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N  93.5W AT 02/0000Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.0N  93.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 21.0N  93.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 21.0N  93.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 21.0N  93.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 21.0N  93.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 21.0N  93.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 21.0N  94.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 21.0N  95.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.0N  93.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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