Hurricane KATE

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HURRICANE KATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  45
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162003
2100Z MON OCT 06 2003
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.1N  54.4W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  20 DEGREES AT  21 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT.......175NE 175SE 125SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..475NE 400SE 200SW 250NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.1N  54.4W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.0N  55.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 42.1N  52.3W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW   0NW.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  40NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 48.5N  47.4W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  40NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 55.7N  40.7W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 100SE 100SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 450SE 300SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 58.9N  33.1W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 100SE 100SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 450SE 300SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 61.5N  16.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 100SE 100SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 450SE 300SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z...EXTRATROPICAL EAST OF GREENWICH MERIDIAN
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.1N  54.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z
 
FORECASTER KNABB/FRANKLIN
 
 
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