Hurricane KATE

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HURRICANE KATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  40
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162003
1500Z SUN OCT 05 2003
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N  56.3W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  973 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..600NE 300SE 200SW 400NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N  56.3W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.7N  56.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 32.5N  56.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 35.4N  56.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 39.5N  54.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 200SE 100SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 45.0N  50.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 200SE 100SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 57.0N  32.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 100SE 100SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 450SE 300SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 60.0N   7.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.2N  56.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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