Hurricane KATE

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HURRICANE KATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  37
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162003
2100Z SAT OCT 04 2003
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.3N  54.5W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  952 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT.......175NE 125SE  75SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..800NE 300SE 300SW 500NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.3N  54.5W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.2N  54.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 31.0N  56.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...175NE 125SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 32.8N  57.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...175NE 125SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 35.7N  57.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...175NE 150SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 40.0N  56.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 51.0N  46.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE  75SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 57.5N  27.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 63.5N  10.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.3N  54.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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