Hurricane KATE

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HURRICANE KATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162003
0900Z THU OCT 02 2003
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N  43.4W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 245 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  979 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT.......200NE 100SE 100SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..350NE 180SE 180SW 350NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N  43.4W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.3N  43.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 29.8N  45.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...200NE 100SE 100SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 29.8N  48.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...200NE 100SE 100SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 30.0N  50.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...200NE 100SE 100SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 30.5N  52.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...200NE 100SE 100SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 32.5N  56.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...200NE 100SE 100SW 200NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 36.0N  58.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 40.0N  58.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.1N  43.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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