Hurricane KATE

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TROPICAL STORM KATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162003
0300Z WED OCT 01 2003
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.5N  37.7W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE   0SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT.......150NE  75SE  75SW 175NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 180SE 180SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.5N  37.7W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.5N  37.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 32.5N  39.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE   0SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE  75SE  75SW 175NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 32.2N  41.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...175NE  75SE  75SW 175NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 32.0N  43.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...175NE  75SE  75SW 175NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 32.0N  45.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...175NE  75SE  75SW 175NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 32.5N  49.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...175NE  75SE  75SW 175NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 33.5N  52.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 35.5N  54.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.5N  37.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z
 
FORECASTER BROWN/FRANKLIN
 
 
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