Hurricane KATE
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TROPICAL STORM KATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162003
2100Z TUE SEP 30 2003
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.6N 36.4W AT 30/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT.......125NE 100SE 50SW 125NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 250SE 125SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.7N 36.3W AT 30/2100Z
AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.6N 36.0W
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 32.8N 37.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE 50SW 125NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 32.6N 39.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...135NE 100SE 50SW 125NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 32.4N 41.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 70 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE 60SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 32.4N 43.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 70 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE 60SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 32.7N 47.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 40SE 40SW 75NW.
34 KT...150NE 90SE 60SW 150NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 33.7N 51.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 35.0N 53.4W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 70 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.6N 36.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z
FORECASTER PETERSEN
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