Hurricane ISABEL

000
WTNT23 KNHC 130842
TCMAT3
HURRICANE ISABEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL132003
0900Z SAT SEP 13 2003
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N  60.4W AT 13/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  935 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT....... 75NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT.......100NE  85SE  85SW  85NW.
34 KT.......160NE 120SE 105SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..325NE 325SE 250SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N  60.4W AT 13/0900Z
AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N  60.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 22.2N  61.6W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
50 KT...100NE  85SE  85SW  85NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 105SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 23.0N  63.7W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
50 KT...100NE  85SE  85SW  85NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 105SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 23.5N  65.5W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
50 KT...100NE  85SE  85SW  85NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 105SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 24.5N  67.5W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
50 KT...100NE  85SE  85SW  85NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 105SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 26.0N  70.0W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT...100NE  85SE  85SW  85NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 105SW 140NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 28.5N  72.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 32.0N  74.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.0N  60.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA