Hurricane ISABEL

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HURRICANE ISABEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL132003
1500Z MON SEP 08 2003
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N  42.6W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  962 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N  42.6W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N  42.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 17.9N  44.4W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 18.6N  46.8W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 120SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 19.2N  49.1W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  35SW  45NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 130SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 19.4N  51.1W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 130SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 19.5N  55.0W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 130SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 19.5N  58.5W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 20.0N  62.5W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N  42.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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