Tropical Storm ERIKA
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TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082003
1500Z FRI AUG 15 2003
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM
BROWNSVILLE TO BAFFIN BAY TEXAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS
IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO PORT O'CONNOR.
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING FROM LA PESCA NORTHWARD TO THE U.S. BORDER.
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.1N 91.4W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 20 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 0SE 0SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.1N 91.4W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.1N 90.3W
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 26.1N 94.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT...100NE 25SE 25SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 26.0N 98.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 10SE 10SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 50SE 50SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 26.0N 100.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 26.0N 102.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.1N 91.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z
FORECASTER AVILA
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