Hurricane LINDA
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TROPICAL DEPRESSION LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 AM PDT WED SEP 17 2003
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE REMAINED ABSENT FROM THE CENTER OF LINDA FOR
ABOUT THE PAST 12 HOURS...EVEN THOUGH SSTS ARE NEAR 27C. THIS
APPEARS TO BE THE RESULT OF COLD-AIR STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS
CONTINUING TO BE ENTRAINED INTO THE CIRCULATION CENTER.... LIKELY
STABILIZING THE TROPICAL CYCLONE. THESE CLOUDS ARE QUITE EXTENSIVE
AND LOOK TO HAVE ENVELOPED MOST OF THE CIRCULATION. IF DEEP
CONVECTION DOES NOT RETURN THIS AFTERNOON... LINDA COULD BE
DECLARED A REMNANT LOW IN THE NEXT ADVISORY PACKAGE.
THE DEPRESSION IS DRIFTING TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST WITH WEAK STEERING
FROM THE DISTANT SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AS THE
LOW-LEVEL STEERING FLOW BECOMES A LITTLE STRONGER. THE FORECAST
TRACK IS QUITE SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. IF THE DEPRESSION
MOVES FAR ENOUGH TO THE SOUTH AWAY FROM THE MORE STABLE AIR...IT
COULD MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY BUT THIS IS NOT LIKELY AT THIS TIME.
FORECASTER STEWART/BLAKE
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 17/1500Z 20.3N 117.0W 30 KT
12HR VT 18/0000Z 19.9N 117.4W 25 KT...DISSIPATING
24HR VT 18/1200Z 19.4N 118.3W 25 KT...DISSIPATING
36HR VT 19/0000Z 18.9N 119.3W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 19/1200Z 18.6N 120.4W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
72HR VT 20/1200Z 18.4N 122.1W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
96HR VT 21/1200Z 18.3N 123.4W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
120HR VT 22/1200Z 18.2N 125.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
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