Hurricane DANNY

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HURRICANE DANNY DISCUSSION NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SAT JUL 19 2003
 
VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES AND MICROWAVE DATA REVEAL THE EYE FEATURE
ASSOCIATED WITH DANNY AND T-NUMBERS FROM ALL THREE AGENCIES SUPPORT
65 KNOTS. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS OVER COOL WATERS AND WEAKENING
SHOULD BEGIN VERY SOON.

DANNY IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST AT 16 KNOTS AROUND A
STATIONARY SUBTROPICAL HIGH. THE CYCLONE OR ITS REMANTS ARE
FORECAST TO LOOP AROUND THE HIGH AND EVENTUALLY MOVE TOWARD THE
SOUTHWEST. IT COULD RE-INTENSIFY AFTER 48 HOURS OR SO WHILE MOVING
SOUTHWESTWARD OVER WARMER WATER AND WITH LESS VERTICAL SHEAR.  THIS
POSSIBILITY IS NOT YET REFLECTED IN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST AS ITS
CHANCE OF OCCURRING APPEARS TO BE SLIM.  

FORECASTER AVILA
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      19/1500Z 42.4N  46.8W    65 KT
 12HR VT     20/0000Z 43.1N  43.9W    50 KT
 24HR VT     20/1200Z 43.0N  40.5W    40 KT
 36HR VT     21/0000Z 41.5N  38.0W    30 KT
 48HR VT     21/1200Z 39.0N  37.0W    25 KT...DISSIPATING
 72HR VT     22/1200Z 36.5N  37.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 96HR VT     23/1200Z 34.5N  40.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
120HR VT     24/1200Z 33.5N  44.0W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 
 
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