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Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook


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000
ABPZ20 KNHC 241149
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Mon Aug 24 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Lala, located several hundred miles north of Pearl and Hermes 
Atoll, on Tropical Depression Moke, located several hundred miles 
south of Honolulu, Hawaii, and on Tropical Storm Iselle, located 
several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja 
California Peninsula.

Well Southwest of the Baja California Peninsula (EP91):
Satellite wind data indicate that the small area of low pressure 
located well to the southwest of the southern tip of the Baja 
California Peninsula has become a little better defined. However, 
the shower and thunderstorm activity remains disorganized. 
Environmental conditions could still support the development of a 
short-lived tropical depression during the next day or so while the 
system moves generally northward, before it becomes absorbed by 
Tropical Storm Iselle.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

Central East Pacific:
An area of low pressure is expected to develop well south of the 
southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula in a day or two.  
Environmental conditions are forecast to be favorable for 
development thereafter, and a tropical depression is expected to 
form by the end of this week while the system moves generally 
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

Well Offshore of Southern Mexico:
Another area of low pressure could form well offshore of Central 
America late this week. Environmental conditions appear conducive 
for some gradual development of this system over the weekend while 
it moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph well 
offshore of southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

Western East Pacific:
A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form well to the  
east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands during the middle part of the 
week. Some slow development of this system is possible later this 
week while it moves northeastward or northward across the western 
portion of the East Pacific.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Iselle are issued under WMO 
header WTPZ34 NHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4.  
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Iselle are issued under WMO 
header WTPZ24 and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4.

$$
Forecaster Hagen