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000
ABNT20 KNHC 100517
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Mon Aug 10 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Central Tropical Atlantic:
A broad area of showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical 
wave is located about midway between the coast of west Africa and 
the Lesser Antilles.  Some gradual development of this wave is 
possible through mid-week while it moves quickly westward across the 
central tropical Atlantic.  Upper-level winds are expected to become 
less conducive for development later in the week when the system 
approaches the Lesser Antilles.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
A small area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of 
the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms.  As this system moves slowly westward, a tropical 
wave currently over west Africa is expected to merge with it in a 
couple of days.  Environmental conditions are forecast to be more 
conducive for development by midweek, and a tropical depression 
could form during the latter half of this week while the system 
moves westward to west-northwestward across the central tropical 
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

Western Subtropical Atlantic:
A trough of low pressure located a few hundred miles northwest of 
Bermuda is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity.  
Some development of this system is possible during the next couple 
of days while it moves quickly eastward, well to the north of 
Bermuda across the western and central subtropical Atlantic.  The 
system is forecast to reach cooler waters later this week, ending 
its chances of formation after Wednesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hagen