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000
ABNT20 KNHC 301828 CCA
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrteced
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Aug 30 2026

Correct low chance to medium chance for the Gulf system

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Northern Gulf of America (AL97):
A low pressure area is located over the northern Gulf of America 
about 125 mils south of the coast of southeastern Louisiana.  
Satellite imagery and recent satellite wind data indicate that this 
system has become better organized since yesterday.  Additional 
development is possible as the low moves slowly west-northwestward, 
and a short-lived tropical depression or tropical storm could form 
before the system reaches the Upper Texas or southwestern Louisiana 
coasts Tuesday or Tuesday night. Interests along the Louisiana and 
Upper Texas coasts should monitor the progress of this system. 
Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible over 
portions of the Upper Texas or southwestern Louisiana coasts during 
the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

Near Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands (Remnants of Dolly):
A strong tropical wave, the remnants of Tropical Storm Dolly, is 
producing an area of showers and thunderstorms from Puerto Rico 
eastward across the Virgin Islands and the northern Leeward Islands. 
Satellite data and surface observations indicate that there are no 
signs of a closed surface circulation, and redevelopment is unlikely 
during the next day or two while the wave moves westward to 
west-northwestward at about 25 mph. The system should bring locally 
heavy rains and gusty winds to portions of the Leeward Islands, the 
Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola over the next couple of 
days. Conditions may become more conducive for redevelopment by the 
middle of the week as the system reaches the southeastern Gulf of 
America.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven