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000
ABNT20 KNHC 182329
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Jul 18 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Northern Gulf of America and near Florida (AL91):
Satellite images and surface observations indicate that a broad 
surface low is located over the eastern Gulf of America.  The 
associated winds are currently light, and the shower and 
thunderstorm activity remains disorganized.  However, gradual 
development of this system is possible, and it could become a 
tropical depression while it moves slowly northward or 
north-northwestward during the next few days.  Interests along the 
Florida Gulf coast, southern Alabama, and southwestern Georgia 
should monitor the progress of this system as it is expected to 
bring heavy rain to portions of that region during the next several 
days.  An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to 
investigate the system on Sunday, if needed.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven