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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook


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000
ABNT20 KNHC 122331
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Fri Jun 12 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Western Gulf:
A broad low pressure area moving west-northwestward over the Bay of 
Campeche is accompanied by poorly organized showers and 
thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to be only 
marginally conducive for development before the system moves inland 
over eastern Mexico late Saturday or Sunday.  The system could 
re-emerge over the northwestern Gulf on Tuesday and Wednesday while 
interacting with a frontal boundary, but there too, conditions are 
only expected to be marginally conducive for any development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven