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000
ABNT20 KNHC 142307
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Fri Aug 14 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Near the Windward Islands (AL92):
A tropical wave near the Windward Islands is producing gusty winds 
and a large area of showers and thunderstorms.  This system is 
moving into a region of increasing upper-level winds and drier air, 
and the potential for tropical cyclone formation has decreased.  
Even though development is highly unlikely, strong gusty winds to 
near gale force and areas of heavy rain are possible across portions 
of the Lesser Antilles tonight and on Saturday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

Central Tropical Atlantic (AL94):
A tropical wave over the Central Tropical Atlantic, located more 
than 1000 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands, continues to produce 
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  While environmental 
conditions are conducive for some development over the next few 
days, the system is expected to encounter strong upper-level winds 
next week, decreasing its chances for development. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Pasch/Mahoney