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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook


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000
ABNT20 KNHC 181717
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sat Jul 18 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Northern Gulf of America and near Florida (AL91):
Satellite images and surface observations indicate that a broad 
surface low is forming over the eastern Gulf of America.  However, 
the associated winds remain light, and the showers and thunderstorms 
are still disorganized.  Gradual development of this system is 
possible, and it could become a tropical depression while it moves 
slowly northward or north-northwestward during the next few days.  
Interests along the Florida Gulf coast, southern Alabama, and 
southwestern Georgia should monitor the progress of this system as 
it is expected to bring heavy rain to portions of that region during 
the next several days.  An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft 
is scheduled to investigate the system on Sunday, if needed.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi/Katz