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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook



000
ABNT20 KNHC 180513
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 AM EST Mon Nov 18 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A broad area of low pressure located about 450 miles east-northeast
of the northern Leeward Islands is producing disorganized showers
and thunderstorms with winds of around 30 mph on its northeast side.
Some gradual development of this system is expected, and a tropical
or subtropical depression could form during the next couple of days
while it moves northwestward and then northward over the open
Atlantic.  After that time, upper-level winds are expected to become
less conducive and the disturbance is forecast to merge with a
frontal system after midweek, so additional development is not
expected.  For more information, see High Seas Forecasts issued by
the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Brennan