000
AXPZ20 KNHC 040854
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Wed Feb 4 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0830 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

NW Waters Gale Warning: A low currently near 34N149W will move 
northwest of 30N140W today into tonight. Gales associated with 
this low will reach just southeast of 30N140W this afternoon 
before diminishing. Please see the next Special Feature for 
associated Significant W-NW Swells.

Significant W-NW Swell Event: Rough seas of 12 ft or greater 
cover the waters NW of a line from 30N136W to 27N140W and are 
currently peaking near 16 ft. These very rough seas will 
propagate SE to cover the waters west of a line from from 30N131W
to 18N140W by early Thu, and west of a line from 30N123W to 
13N133W by early Fri. Seas are forecast to peak around 22 ft near
30N140W tonight into early Thu. Seas will then gradually subside
to just below 12 ft by early Sat, when a large area of seas 8 ft
or greater covers much of the waters west of 110W.

Gulf of Tehuantepec Gale Warning: A cold front will move across 
the Gulf of America today and Thu. High pressure building in the
wake of this front will help tighten the pressure gradient 
across the area to usher in a gale force gap wind event in the 
Gulf of Tehuantepec. The gale- force winds with this event are 
forecast to start tonight and continue through Sat evening, 
potentially peaking at 40-45 kt Thu and Thu night. Rough to very 
rough seas will accompany these winds.

Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at 
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for more details.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 08N84W to 05N88W to 04N115W. The
ITCZ extends from 04N115W to beyond 06N140W. Scattered moderate 
convection is noted from 03N to 06N between 84W and 92W, from 01N
to 05N between 97W and 102W, and from 07N to 15N between 108W 
and 124W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A Gale Warning is in effect for the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Please 
see the Special Features section above for more details.

Aside from the Gulf of Tehuantepec, subsiding rough seas in NW 
swell prevails over the waters W of the Baja California 
peninsula, extending southward to near and west of the 
Revillagigedo Islands. Otherwise, winds are moderate or weaker 
with moderate seas, except slight in the Gulf of California, 
across the discussion area.

For the forecast aside from the Gulf of Tehuantepec, a set of NW
swell will impact the waters west of the Baja California 
peninsula through early today. Another set of large NW swell will
enter the waters off Baja California Norte the end of the week, 
spreading across the waters W of 100W during the upcoming 
weekend. Winds pay pulse to moderate fresh from near the southern
Gulf of California and Cabo San Lucas to near Cabo Corrientes at
times due to a locally tight pressure gradient. 

....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Fresh to near- gale force winds are in the Gulf of Papagayo, with
moderate to fresh winds extending downstream to near 90W. Fresh 
to strong winds, and rough seas, prevail in the Gulf of Panama 
and elsewhere near the Azuero Peninsula, with locally rough seas 
possible with those winds. Otherwise, gentle to moderate winds 
and moderate seas prevail.

For the forecast, fresh to strong winds will pulse across the 
Papagayo region through the remainder of the week and into the 
weekend. Winds may reach minimal gale-force during the upcoming 
weekend due to a similar weather pattern as the recent gale-force
gap wind event. Another gale force gap wind event in Tehuantepec
commencing tonight will produce rough seas well offshore the 
western Guatemala and El Salvador waters Thu through Fri night. 
Fresh to strong northerly gap winds in the Gulf of Panama will 
diminish this morning, possibly returning during the upcoming 
weekend. Moderate to fresh winds will pulse in the Gulf of Panama
for the remainder of the week.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A Gale Warning is in effect for the NW waters along with
associated Significant W-NW Swell. Please see the Special 
Features section above for more details.

Aside from the NW waters Gale Warning and associated large
swells discussed above, a separate NW swell continues to 
subside, with seas in the 8 to 9 ft range prevailing mainly over
the waters SSW of Baja California Sur to near 10N118W. 
Meanwhile, rough seas generated from recently ended Gulf of 
Tehuantepec and Gulf of Papagayo gale- force gap wind events are 
over the discussion waters from 02N to 10N between 90W and 103W.
Elsewhere, moderate winds, and moderate seas in mixed swell, 
prevail.

For the forecast, aside from the NW waters Gale Warning and 
associated large swells described in the Special Features, seas 
greater than 8 ft with a leading and separate set NW swell will 
gradually subside below 8 ft by early Thu. High pressure is 
forecast to build in the wake of the gale-force storm systems 
discussed above, with fresh to strong trades possible from 07N to
20N and west of 110W during the upcoming weekend. Meanwhile, 
confused seas generated by recently ended Gulf of Tehuantepec and
Gulf of Papagayo gales will continue to impact the open waters 
downwind of those Gulfs into mid-week before subsiding. Similar 
seas are possible over generally the same open waters late in the
week and into next weekend, with the next gale event in the Gulf
of Tehuantepec.

$$
AL