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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Discussion


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 081530
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1605 UTC Wed Apr 8 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1500 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends from 09N84W to 06N97W. The ITCZ continues
from 06N97W to 06N118W to 03N140W. A second ITCZ is south of the
Equator and runs from 03S100W to beyond 03S140W. A cluster of 
moderate to strong convection is from 03.5N to 07N E of 79W to 
the coast of Colombia. Scattered moderate convection is noted 
from 01N to 09N between 80W and 85W, and from 02N to 05N between 
123W and 129W. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Fresh to strong N winds are noted across the Gulf of Tehuantepec
and downwind to 14N along with seas 6 to 8 ft. Otherwise, a weak
ridge dominates the offshore waters of Baja California. This 
pattern supports moderate to fresh NW to N winds with moderate 
seas. Light to gentle winds and slight seas are noted in the Gulf
of California. Elsewhere across the Mexican offshore waters, 
light to gentle winds and moderate seas, primarily in southerly 
swell, prevail.

For the forecast, pulsing fresh to strong northerly winds are
expected in the Tehuantepec region the remainder of the week with
seas building up to 7 or 8 ft. Moderate to locally fresh NW 
winds and moderate seas are forecast off Baja California through
Fri night under the influence of a ridge. Fresh to strong SW 
winds may briefly develop in the northern Gulf of California Fri 
night ahead of a cold front approaching Baja California Norte, 
then moderate to fresh SW winds are expected through the 
upcoming weekend. Elsewhere, winds will be moderate or weaker 
with moderate seas through the next several days. 

....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Moderate to locally fresh gap winds are blowing across the Gulf 
of Papagayo and downwind to 88W. Seas are 4 to 6 ft with these 
winds. Farther east, moderate N winds and 3 to 4 ft seas are 
present in the Gulf of Panama and just south of the Azuero 
Peninsula. Light to gentle winds and moderate seas dominate the 
remainder of the offshore forecast waters. 

For the forecast, fresh to locally strong gap winds are expected
during the nighttime and early morning hours in the Papagayo 
region and downwind to about 89W through Thu. Toward the 
upcoming weekend, winds may increase to 30 kt with seas building 
to 8 or 9 ft in the Papagayo area as a stronger high pressure 
settles N of the area. Moderate northerly winds are forecast in 
the Gulf of Panama through the forecast period. Light to gentle 
winds and moderate seas will prevail elsewhere.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

Another cold front has reached the far NW corner of the forecast
region and extends from 30N135W to 29N140W. Gentle to locally
moderate winds and moderate seas are on either side of the front.
A surface trough is ahead of the front and stretches from 30N132W
to beyond 23N140W. Multilayer clouds, with possible showers is 
within about 300 nm ahead of the trough. E of trough, a 1018 mb 
high pressure located near 30N126W extends a ridge across the 
remainder of the N waters, particularly N of 19N and W of 110W. 
The pressure gradient between the ridge and lower pressures in 
the vicinity of the ITCZ supports moderate to locally fresh winds
in the trade wind zone, W of 115W. Seas of 6 to 7 ft are within 
these winds. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate 
seas are prevalent.

For the forecast, the cold front will move eastward across the 
waters N of 20N while dissipating by Fri. Gentle to locally 
moderate winds will follow the front along with seas 6 to 7 ft. A
high pressure center located ahead of the front will move SE 
between 120W and 130W and weaken some over the next 48-72 hours. 
Moderate to locally fresh trades are expected along the southern 
periphery of the ridge through at least Thu.

$$
GR