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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Discussion


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 262139
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
2205 UTC Sun Jul 26 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2135 UTC.
 
...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Hurricane Genevieve is centered near 13.9N 110.3W at 26/2100 
UTC, moving west-northwest at 12 kt. Estimated minimum central 
pressure is 947 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 120 kt with 
gusts to 145 kt. Peak seas are near 35 ft (10.5 M). A west- 
northwestward to northwestward motion with some decrease in 
forward speed is expected during the next few days. Genevieve is
a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.
Continued strengthening is expected during the next day or so. 
Genevieve is then forecast to start weakening by the middle of 
this week. Swells generated by Genevieve are affecting portions 
of the southwestern coast of Mexico and will likely reach 
southern portions of the Baja California Peninsula tonight or 
Monday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf 
and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your 
local weather office.

Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website - 
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml and the latest NHC 
Forecast/Advisories and Public Advisories of both systems at 
www.hurricanes.gov for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is along 94W, south of 18N, moving westward at 10
to 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
observed between 90W and 100W.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 10N85W to 07N93W to 09N99W and 
then from 09N115W to 08N121W. The ITCZ stretches from 08N121W to 
07N128W. A surface trough is along 130W, south of 12N. Scattered 
moderate to isolated strong convection is present north of 03N 
and east of 85W. Similar convection is found south of 09N and 
between 125W and 140W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Please refer to the Special Features section for details on 
Hurricane Genevieve, currently located a few hundred miles SW of
Mexico.

The pressure gradient between high pressure over the southern 
United States and lower pressures in the tropics results in fresh
N-NE winds across the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Seas in these waters 
are 6-8 ft. A similar gradient is bringing moderate to fresh NW
winds and seas of 5-7 ft to the waters west of Guadalupe Island.
In the remainder of the offshore waters of Baja California, light
to gentle winds and moderate seas are present. Moderate to
locally fresh S-SE winds and seas of 4-6 ft are noted in the
northern Gulf of California waters, while lighter winds and
slight seas prevail in the rest of the gulf.

For the forecast, Hurricane Genevieve is near 13.9N 110.3W at 2
PM PDT, and is moving west-northwest at 12 kt. Maximum sustained
winds are 120 kt with gusts to 145 kt, and the minimum central 
pressure is 947 mb. Genevieve will move to 14.8N 111.7W Mon 
morning, 16.0N 113.4W Mon afternoon, 17.0N 114.9W Tue morning, 
17.6N 116.4W Tue afternoon, 18.3N 117.8W Wed morning, and 18.9N 
119.5W Wed afternoon. Genevieve will weaken as it moves NW to WNW 
Thu afternoon. Elsewhere, fresh to locally strong N winds 
expected in the Gulf of Tehuantepec through Monday. Winds may 
freshen off Baja California Norte by the end of the week.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Please refer to the Tropical Waves section above for information
about convection in the region. 

High pressure north of the area is forcing fresh to locally
strong easterly trade winds and seas of 6-8 ft across the Gulf of
Papagayo region, extending westward to 93W. Elsewhere, moderate
or lighter winds and moderate seas are prevalent.

For the forecast, high pressure north of the area will force 
fresh to locally strong easterly trade winds in the Gulf of 
Papagayo region will pulse through the period. Moderate to rough 
seas will accompany these winds. Pulsing moderate to fresh north 
winds are expected in the Gulf of Panama starting Wed along with 
slight to moderate seas. Moderate or weaker winds and moderate 
seas in southwest swell are expected elsewhere, except in the 
immediate lee of the Galapagos Islands and nearshore western 
Colombia where slight seas are forecast. The southwest swell will
subside around midweek. 

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

Please refer to the Special Features section for details on 
Hurricane Genevieve, currently located a few hundred miles SW of
Mexico. 

Hurricane Fausto continues to move away from the tropical eastern
Pacific. Fresh to near gale-force cyclonic winds and rough to 
very rough seas are occurring from 17N to 25N and west of 136W.
The remainder of the basin is under the influence of a 1026 mb
high pressure system centered near 30N133W. Moderate to locally
fresh N-NE winds and moderate seas are occurring north of 20N and
west of 120W. Moderate easterly winds and moderate seas are
present from 08N to 20N and between 123W and 135W. Meanwhile,
moderate to locally fresh SE-S winds and rough seas are evident
south of 10N and between 95W and 125W. Elsewhere, moderate or
weaker winds and moderate seas prevail.

For the forecast, Hurricane Genevieve is near 13.9N 110.3W at 2
PM PDT, and is moving west-northwest at 12 kt. Maximum sustained
winds are 120 kt with gusts to 145 kt, and the minimum central 
pressure is 947 mb. Genevieve will move to 14.8N 111.7W Mon 
morning, 16.0N 113.4W Mon afternoon, 17.0N 114.9W Tue morning, 
17.6N 116.4W Tue afternoon, 18.3N 117.8W Wed morning, and 18.9N 
119.5W Wed afternoon. Genevieve will weaken as it moves NW to WNW 
Thu afternoon. Hurricane Fausto will continue to weaken as it 
moves further away from the basin with seas diminishing below 8 
ft Mon night in the westernmost waters. In the southern waters, 
the swell will gradually diminish, with seas below 8 ft by Tue.

$$
Delgado