000
AXPZ20 KNHC 190409
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Wed Nov 19 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0350 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 07N78W to 10N100W to 10N123W. 
The ITCZ continues from 10N123W to 08N132W to 08N140W. Scattered
moderate convection is ongoing from 03N to 08N E of 82W, from 12N
to 15N between 100W and 106W, and from 08N to 16N between 115W
and 122W. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A cold front extends from Punta Eugenia SW to 22N124W to 22N139W.
A trough continues to weaken ahead of the front from 23N115W to
18N128W. Behind the front, another surface trough extends from
30N116W to 25N123W to 26N134W. Scattered showers are ongoing
across Baja California due to these features. Winds behind the
front are moderate or weaker from the NW and seas are rough to 10
ft in long-period NW swell. The front is also moving across the
northern Gulf of California, where is supporting fresh to strong
SW winds and seas to 6 ft. Otherwise, a weak pressure gradient 
support mainly light to gentle winds with slight to moderate 
seas in NW swell elsewhere, except for slight seas in the 
remainder Gulf of California.

For the forecast, strong SW winds will prevail across the 
northern Gulf of California ahead of the cold front through 
tonight. The cold front will move SE while gradually weakening, 
and dissipate N of Cabo San Lazaro by late Wed. Rough seas in the
wake of the front will propagate across the outer offshore 
waters N of Cabo San Lazaro through Thu morning. Otherwise, a 
new cold front is forecast to enter the Baja California Norte 
offshore waters Thu night followed by large swell bringing rough 
seas to the waters N of Cabo San Lucas through Mon.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Moderate to fresh NE winds are ongoing in the Gulf of Papagayo 
and downwind to near 91W along with moderate seas to 4 ft. 
Elsewhere across the Central America offshore waters, light to 
gentle winds and slight seas prevail, except for moderate N winds
in the Gulf of Panama. Between Ecuador and the Galapagos 
Islands, winds are gentle to moderate from the south, with slight
to moderate seas. Scattered showers are present across the Panama
and Colombia offshore waters.

For the forecast, moderate to fresh NE to E winds and moderate 
seas are expected in the Gulf of Papagayo through Sun night. 
Moderate or lighter winds and slight to moderate seas are 
forecast elsewhere through the weekend.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A cold front extends from Punta Eugenia SW to 22N124W to 22N139W.
A trough continues to weaken ahead of the front from 23N115W to
18N128W. Behind the front, another surface trough extends from
30N116W to 25N123W to 26N134W. A surface ridge across the
remainder subtropical waters is supporting moderate to fresh N to
NW winds and rough seas to 11 ft N of 25N between 120W and 130W.
Moderate to fresh NE to E winds are elsewhere between the ITCZ
and 26N W of 125W.

For the forecast, the cold front will move southeastward through
early Wed, bringing fresh NW to N winds and rough seas in long 
period NW swell. The swell will propagate across much of the 
waters W of Baja before subsiding Thu. High pressure in the wake
of the front will support fresh to strong winds and rough seas 
in the westernmost trade wind zone Wed through Thu. The next cold
front is expected to reach the NW waters Wed night into Thu 
followed by fresh NW to N winds and rough seas. Then, a low 
pressure system is expected to develop along the frontal boundary
offshore California. The low pressure is forecast to move 
southward entering the NE forecast waters by Fri night. Strong 
winds and rough to very rough seas could be associated with the 
low. 

$$
Ramos