000
AXPZ20 KNHC 132205
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
2205 UTC Fri Feb 13 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2145 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A trough extends from low pressure in Colombia southwestward to 
08N79W to 09N84W and to 04N91W, where latest scatterometer
satellite data indicates that it transition to the ITCZ to
01N98W to below the Equator at 01S101W, then northwestward
to 03N110W, southwestward to the Equator near 115W, and back 
to the northwest to 03N125W and westward to 04N132W to beyond
04N140W. Scattered moderate convection is within 120 nm north 
of the ITCZ between 92W-95W, and also within 30 nm south of the 
ITCZ between 93W-95W and between 133.5W-13W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Fresh to strong north gap winds are in the Gulf of Tehuantepec 
with seas of 5 to 7 ft. These winds will diminish to moderate
speeds tonight and become light and variable on Sat along with 
seas of 3 to 5 ft in long-period northwest swell. Winds are 
moderate or weaker across the remainder of the waters with a 
ridge of high pressure reaching across the outer Baja California 
offshore waters to offshore SW Mexico, with moderate seas, except
slight seas in the Gulf of California.

For the forecast, fresh to strong north gap winds are expected 
to develop in the Gulf of Tehuantepec region starting late Sun 
night as high pressure north of the area begins build across the 
western Gulf of America in the wake of cold front. These winds 
are expected to last into early Tue, at which time the high 
pressure will be weakening while sliding eastward. Elsewhere, 
moderate to fresh northwest to north winds will shift from the 
southern Gulf of California Sat night to near Cabo Corrientes Sun
due to a locally tight pressure gradient that develops. Looking 
ahead, a cold front is expected to move across Baja California 
Norte early next week attendant by at least fresh winds. Fresh to
strong southwest winds are expected in the far northern Gulf of 
California from Mon to late Mon night. Long-period northwest 
swell is expected to reach the offshore waters of Baja California
Norte from early Sat into early Sun before decaying. A more 
significant northwest swell set will propagate through the Baja 
California offshore waters during next week in association with 
the aforementioned cold front. Peak seas with this swell set may 
possibly reach 15 or 16 ft. Mariners are urged to keep up with 
the latest forecasts.

....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Fresh to strong northeast to east winds along with seas to 8 ft 
are in the Gulf of Papagayo region. Moderate to fresh north to 
northeast winds and seas of 3 to 5 ft are in the the Gulf of 
Panama. Moderate or weaker winds, and mainly 4 to 6 ft seas in a
mix of swells are elsewhere. Active convection is near the coast
of southern Colombia and Ecuador.

For the forecast, fresh to strong northeast to east gap winds 
and rough seas will persist across the Gulf of Papagayo region 
through late Sat night, then diminish to mostly fresh speeds 
early on Sun. These winds will pulse to moderate to fresh speeds 
into Tue, then back up to fresh to strong speeds through Wed. 
Moderate to fresh north to northeast winds in the Gulf of Panama 
will become light and variable Sun through Mon night, then become
gentle to moderate north to northeast winds beginning on Tue. 
Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas 
will change little through the next few days.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A dissipating trough extends from 24N120W to 21N126W while high 
pressure of 1029 mb is north of the area at 33N136W. The earlier 
fresh to strong northeast to east winds between the high pressure 
and trough have diminished to fresh speeds as the gradient has 
slacken some. Seas of 8 to 10 ft are over the waters north of 16N
and west of about 122W as seen in altimeter CryoSat satellite 
data passes today. Moderate or lighter winds along with moderate
seas are elsewhere from 04N to 26N west of about 119W. A large
area of strong high pressure will build east-southeastward in 
the wake of the frontal boundary. Fresh to strong northwest to 
north winds will follow in behind the front. Seas with these
winds are expected to be in the range of 8 to 12 ft, with seas 
of 11 to 16 ft expected late Sun into Mon north of about 26N and
west of 132W. Later on Mon and into the middle part of the week,
a tight pressure gradient between the high pressure and the 
front will lead to a widespread increase of the trade winds from
10N to 23N west of 124W along with seas building to 8 to 12 ft 
in the long-period northwest to north swell that will be ushered
in by the cold front. Seas up to around 13 ft may possible near 
140W at that time.

$$ 
Aguirre