000
AXPZ20 KNHC 252005
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
2205 UTC Sat Apr 25 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2000 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A trough axis extends from 09N79W to 04N87W to 09N107W. The 
ITCZ extends from 09N107W to 08N124W to beyond 06N140W. A 
second ITCZ is south and southwest of the discussion waters. 
Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is active from
01N to 06N between 81W and 86W, from 02S to 02N between 85W and
92W, from 03N to 08N between 97W and 122W, and from 10N to 14N
between 118W and 122W. Scattered moderate convection is active
from 02N to 11.5N between 126W and 133W, and from 03N to 08N
between 135W and 140W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Broad ridging over the eastern Pacific west of Baja California is
generally maintaining moderate to locally fresh northwest winds 
over the offshore waters of Baja California, with gentle to
moderate winds elsewhere, except southwest to west at moderate to
locally fresh speeds just offshore of southern Mexico near and
west of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Combined seas are 4-6 ft off 
Baja California, 3-5 ft off southwest and southern Mexico, and 
1-3 ft in the Gulf of California.

For the forecast, the high pressure over the region will maintain
moderate to fresh northwest winds over the Baja California 
waters well into next week. A tightening pressure gradient 
between high pressure northwest of the region shifting eastward, 
with a ridge extending southeastward across the Baja California 
offshore waters and low pressure over the western U.S. will 
induce strong to near gale southwest to west gap winds across the
northern Gulf of California tonight into Sun. Winds will also
increase slightly to fresh to strong between Cabo San Lazaro and
Punta Eugenia Sun night through Mon morning. Elsewhere, mostly 
light to gentle west to northwest winds are expected through 
early next week. Moderate to fresh winds may develop in the
central and southern Gulf of California by the middle of next
week as the pressure gradient tightens slightly.

....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Light to gentle variable winds prevail north of the equator along 
with seas of 2-4 ft. Gentle to moderate southeast winds along 
with seas of 5-7 ft in long-period south to southwest swell 
continue south of the equator. 

For the forecast, a light gradient will maintain rather tranquil
conditions over the Central American and Colombian waters well 
into next week while moderate to fresh southeast winds and 
moderate long-period south to southwest swell remain offshore
Ecuador. Winds may pulse to moderate to fresh in the Gulf of
Papagayo and Gulf of Panama starting Tue morning.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

The gradient related to broad high pressure north of the ITCZ is
generally supporting gentle to moderate trades across the open
waters, except moderate to locally fresh near a trough analyzed 
from 27N130W to beyond 22N140W as measured by recent ASCAT
scatterometer data, as well as north of the ITCZ to 14N to the
west of 135W per the same data. Seas are mainly 5-7 ft in mixed 
swells across the open waters west of 95W, except locally to 8 
ft near 140W from 05N to 14N, and also near 03.4S. Seas are 3-5
ft north of the Equator and east of 95W.

For the forecast, the rather weak high pressure across the 
region will generally maintain moderate to fresh trade winds from
the ITCZ to 20N and west of 120W. Combined seas will be in the 
range of 5-7 ft over the western part of the area through the
remainder of the weekend, locally to 8 ft near 140W through 
early evening, then 4-6 ft across the entire area early next 
week, except near 8 ft along 03.4S into early next week. Seas may
build slightly over the waters north of 10N and west of 120W by
the middle of next week in new swells.

$$
Lewitsky