000
AXNT20 KNHC 081000
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sun Feb 8 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
0900 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Western and Central Atlantic Gale Warnings/Significant Swell: A
cold front extends from 31N56W to the SE Bahamas and into western
Cuba. Gale-force W winds of up to 45 kt follow this cold front N
of 27N to 71W. Seas within the area of gales have built to 20 to
30 ft. Very rough seas in excess of 12 ft extend well S of the
gale area due to expansive, significant NW swell, within an area
of strong mainly W winds, N of 23N between 40W and 77W. Widespread
gale-force to near storm- force winds will impact waters W of the
front, north of 27N and east of 70W into Mon, when the front will
reach a 31N48W to Leeward Islands line. Gale-force winds behind 
the front will diminish to fresh to strong speeds by early Tue 
morning. Very rough seas generated by these winds will propagate 
SE and impact much of the waters into mid-week, with peak seas of 
33 ft possible from 30N to Bermuda this afternoon. The very rough
seas are likely to finally diminish below 12 ft Wed. 

Please read the latest High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecasts 
issued by the National Hurricane Center at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php for more details on
these events.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
W Africa near 07N12W and extends southwestward to near 04N18W, 
where it transitions to the ITCZ that continues to 00N30W. Scattered
moderate convection is from 00N to 03N between 25W and 30W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A stationary front extends from the Yucatan Channel to the upper
Texas coast. High pressure dominates on both sides of the 
boundary, with a 1024 mb high centered near 23N94W. NE of the 
front, Moderate NE winds and 3 to 5 ft seas prevail, with light to
gentle winds and slight seas to the SW. 

For the forecast, high pressure will dominate the basin, bringing
quiescent weather into late week.

...CARIBBEAN SEA... 

A cold front is noted from from western Cuba across the Yucatan
Channel. A stationary front extends from Puerto Rico to the
central basin near 15N72W. Mainly NE winds are present through the
basin, with moderate seas. 

For the forecast, the cold front will overtake the stationary
front later today, then slide east of the Leeward Islands Mon. Winds
will increase in the wake of the front, becoming strong initially
offshore Colombia and Hispaniola tonight, then expanding to much 
of the central basin Mon through Wed, as high pressure in the 
western Atlantic builds southward toward the area. Rough seas will
accompany these strong winds. In addition, large NW to N swell 
will impact the Mona Passage, Anegada Passage, and tropical N 
Atlantic waters tonight into Wed. 

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please see the Special Features section for details on a Gale
Warning and significant swell in the western and central 
Atlantic.

Aside from the gale and significant swell, a reinforcing cold
front extends from 31N60W to the NW Bahamas. Ahead of the main
cold front, responsible for the gales, a weakening stationary
front extends from 31N48W to Puerto Rico. In the far east
Atlantic, a 1026 mb high pressure is centered just W of the Canary
Islands, and dominates the basin outside of the aforementioned
frontal boundaries. This is leading to fresh NE to E trades and
moderate to rough seas S of 20N and E of 50W, with moderate or
lesser winds and seas elsewhere SE of a 31N30W to Puerto Rico
line. 

For the forecast W of 55W, gales will spread east as cold front
moves E across the waters, impacting areas N of 27N through Mon. 
This front will merge with a stationary front that is over the SE 
waters tonight, then move E of the area by Mon night, allowing 
winds to gradually diminish. Very rough seas will impact most of 
the waters E of 77W through Tue, with peak seas along 30N, SE of 
Bermuda, exceeding 30 ft through tonight. 
 
$$
Konarik