606 
AXNT20 KNHC 081740
TWDAT 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Tue Sep 8 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
1700 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 47W from 02N 
to 18N, moving westward at about 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate 
and isolated strong convection is noted from 05N to 15N between 
44W and 53W. 

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 58W from 19N
southward, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate 
convection is noted from 07N to 19N between 53W and 60W.

A central Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 79W, south of
19N. It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate 
convection is noted S of 12N between 80W and 84W, likely enhanced
by the Eastern Pacific monsoon trough. 

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 21N17W, and continues
southwestward to 10N28W. The ITCZ continues from 10N28W to 
08N35W to 10N44W. Scattered moderate and isolated strong
convection is seen from 07N to 15N and E of 22W. Scattered 
moderate convection is also seen from 05N to 10N between 25W and
34W.
 
...GULF OF AMERICA...

A cold front extends across the eastern waters from central
FL to south-central LA. Numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms
are in the vicinity of the front. A surface trough has moved 
westward off the Yucatan Peninsula into the SW Gulf. Gentle to 
moderate winds are in the vicinity of the trough. Light to gentle 
winds are over the SE Gulf. Gentle winds and slight seas are noted
elsewhere. 

For the forecast, weak high pressure will persist across the Gulf
basin through the period, producing a weak pressure gradient. 
This will support mostly light to gentle winds and slight seas 
over much of the waters. Winds will pulse to fresh with moderate 
seas off the western Yucatan Peninsula during the evenings due to 
a diurnal surface trough moving westward from the peninsula each 
night. 

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between high pressure over the western 
Atlantic and the Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong 
trades along with moderate seas over the south- central Caribbean.
Moderate to fresh trades and moderate are over the rest of basin,
with the exception of the northwestern waters, where light to 
gentle winds are noted.

For the forecast, the western Atlantic ridge extends E to W along
about 26N to the NW Bahamas. The pressure gradient between the 
ridge and the Colombian low will support strong winds, locally to 
near- gale force, through Wed night before diminishing modestly 
through Fri. Rough seas will develop over these waters with the 
persistent strong winds. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and 
slight to moderate seas will prevail. Large easterly swell will 
accompany a tropical wave into the Tropical N Atlantic waters 
early Wed through Thu morning. 

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A stationary front extends from near 31N70W to central Florida. A
pre-frontal trough also extends from just north of Hispaniola to
near 32N58W. Scattered moderate convection is in the vicinity of 
the front and trough. Convergent surface winds are also supporting
scattered moderate convection near the SW Bahamas and FL Straits. 
High pressure dominates the remainder of the waters N of 20N, 
anchored by a 1028 mb high centered near 32N34W. Fresh to strong 
winds are noted N of 20N and E of 30W. Moderate to fresh winds 
prevail S of 22N and E of 60W, with fresh to locally strong winds
occurring near the Tropical Wave analyzed near 47W. Gentle to 
moderate winds generally prevail elsewhere. Seas are in the 7-9 ft
range from 14N to 28N between 21W and 55W. Mainly moderate seas 
dominate the remainder of the discussion waters. 

For the forecast west of 55W, weak high pressure extending from 
the central Atlantic westward along about 26N to the NW Bahamas 
will gradually shift northeastward and strengthen through mid 
week. This pattern will support moderate or weaker winds and 
moderate seas today, then moderate to fresh winds S of 21N tonight
through Thu. A stationary front will linger near 31N through mid 
week before lifting northward. Showers and thunderstorms will 
remain active across these northern waters W of 60W through 
tonight. 

$$
Adams