463 
AXNT20 KNHC 012200
TWDAT 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Wed Apr 1 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
2100 UTC.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough is now confined to on land over Africa. The
ITCZ extends from 06N26W to 00N40W. Convection previously along
these features has diminished over water this evening.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

High pressure over the western Atlantic extends toward the NE 
Gulf waters, supporting moderate to locally fresh SE winds and 
moderate seas. Divergence aloft is supporting scattered moderate
convection in the Bay of Campeche as well as within 120 nm of the
mouth of the Mississippi River.

For the forecast, high pressure will prevail across the Gulf 
waters. Moderate to fresh E to SE winds and moderate seas are 
expected over the E Gulf through Sat night. Over the western half 
of the Gulf, moderate to fresh SE winds are forecast, except for 
strong E to SE winds off the northern Yucatan Peninsula at night. 
A cold front may enter the western Gulf Sunday with strong winds 
and rough seas expected in its vicinity. .

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Fresh to strong NE to E trades dominate waters offshore Colombia
and in the Windward Passage, with moderate to fresh winds over
most of the rest of the basin, except for the eastern Caribbean
where gentle to moderate NE winds prevail. Seas are 4 to 7 ft,
except rough seas in N swell are spilling through Atlantic
passages. 

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure N 
of the area and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong 
winds and rough seas offshore Colombia through the forecast 
period. This pattern will also support fresh to strong NE winds in
the lee side of Cuba, the Windward Passage, and south of 
Hispaniola through Thu night. 

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A deep layer trough that extends roughly along 60W from 20N to 27N
is inducing numerous moderate convection from 22N to 27N between
53W and 63W. In the far eastern Atlantic, low pressure between the
Canary Islands and Cabo Verde Islands is causing scattered
moderate convection within 200 nm of the coast of Western Sahara.
A relatively tight pressure gradient between subtropical ridging
with an axis along 35 to 40N and lower pressure toward the Equator
is inducing widespread fresh to locally strong trades between 20N
and 30N, with associated rough seas. To the south, moderate to
locally fresh trades and moderate seas prevail. 

For the forecast west of 55W, strong high pressure will prevail 
across the forecast waters through the remainder of the week into 
the weekend. Fresh to strong NE to E winds, and rough to very 
rough seas, are expected across most of the offshore forecast 
waters through the remainder of the week. Winds will diminish this
weekend with seas slowly subsiding. 

$$
Konarik