766 
AXNT20 KNHC 011453
TWDAT 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Wed Apr 1 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1435 UTC.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the coast of
Liberia near 06N10W and continues southwestward to 02N26W. The
ITCZ extends from 06N26W to 01S45W. Scattered moderate convection
is noted south of 06N and east of 27W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

High pressure over the western Atlantic extends to the Gulf
waters, supporting moderate to locally fresh SE winds and moderate
seas east of 90W. Moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate
seas are noted elsewhere. Divergence aloft is supporting numerous
showers and isolated thunderstorms in the Bay of Campeche, while
generally dry conditions are found in the rest of the basin.

For the forecast, high pressure will prevail across the Gulf waters.
Moderate to fresh E to SE winds and moderate seas are expected
over the E Gulf through Sat night. Over the western half of the
Gulf, moderate to fresh SE winds are forecast, except for strong
E to SE winds off the northern Yucatan Peninsula at night. A
cold front may enter the western Gulf Sunday with strong winds
and rough seas expected in its vicinity.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A recent scatterometer satellite pass indicate that the high 
pressure north of the area is forcing fresh to strong NE-E winds
in the south-central Caribbean. Seas in these waters are 6-8 ft.
Moderate to fresh easterly trade winds and moderate seas are
occurring in the north-central Caribbean and north of 18N in the
NW Caribbean, including the Windward Passage. Elsewhere, moderate
or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail. A few passing showers
are noted across the basin, but no significant convection is
present.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure N of the
area and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds
and rough seas offshore Colombia through the forecast period.
This pattern will also support fresh to strong NE winds in the
lee side of Cuba, the Windward Passage, and south of Hispaniola
through Thu night.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

The interaction between an upper level trough south of Bermuda and
a frontal trough that extends from 27N53W to 20N58W results in 
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms north of 19N to 28N 
and between 52W and 64W. The pressure gradient between a 1037 mb 
high pressure system and the aforementioned frontal trough
supports fresh to locally near gale-force NE-E winds and rough 
seas north of 20N and between 50W and 75W. Moderate to fresh 
easterly winds and seas of 6-10 ft are present elsewhere in the 
central and eastern Atlantic, except for south of 25N and east of 
35W where moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail.
Similarly, moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas are noted
west of 75W.

For the forecast west of 55W, strong high pressure will prevail 
across the forecast waters through the remainder of the week into 
the weekend. Fresh to strong NE to E winds, and rough to very 
rough seas, are expected across most of the offshore forecast 
waters through the remainder of the week. Winds will diminish this
weekend with seas slowly subsiding.

$$
Delgado