000
AXNT20 KNHC 020935 CCA
TWDAT 

Tropical Weather Discussion...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Mon Feb 02 2026

Corrected Special Features section

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
0445 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Atlantic Gale Warning: Gale force winds ahead and following an 
Arctic cold front that extends from 31N59W to the Mona Passage 
and into the SW Caribbean will diminish to fresh to near gale 
force speeds by Mon morning. Currently seas are in the range of 
18 to 28 ft (5.5 to 8.5 M) behind the front N of 24N and W to near 
74W, except to near 78W N of the Bahamas. Seas of 8 to 12 ft (2.5 to 
4 M) are W of 74W to the Bahamas and also N of the Bahamas W of 78W. 
Seas ahead of the front are 10 to 14 ft (3 to 4 M) E to near 55W and 
N of 28N. These sea conditions will slowly subside to between 12 ft 
and 16 ft (4 to 5 M) today, then to 8 to 10 ft (2.5 to 3 M) on Tue.

Please read the latest High Seas Forecasts at 
website: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more 
information.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic near 10N15W. and
continues southwestward to 04N19W. where it transitions to the 
ITCZ to 02N30W to 01N40W and to northern Brazil at 01S48W. No 
significant convection is noted. 

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A tight pressure gradient between strong high pressure building 
across the area, with a 1031 mb high center located near 29N94W, 
and a deepening low off the New England coast is maintaining 
moderate to fresh NW to N winds over the eastern Gulf, and 
moderate to fresh NE to E winds over the SW Gulf. Seas are still 
quite high SE of a line from 27N84W to 25N90W and 19N95W. where 
they range from 8 to 12 ft (2.5 to 4 M) in NW to N swell. The 
highest of the seas are found near and in the Yucatan Channel. 
Seas to the NW of this same line are in the range of 5 to 7 ft in 
N to NE swell, except for lower seas of 3 to 5 ft offshore the 
waters of southwestern Louisiana and 2 to 4 ft over the far NW 
Gulf. 

satellite imagery shows a scattered to broken stratocumulus cloud
field situated over the eastern Gulf S of 28N and E of about 89W.
Broken to overcast mostly low clouds with possible embedded light
rain patches and isolated light showers are confined to the 
western part of the basin S of about 24N and W of 94W. These 
clouds extend to inland Mexico.

For the forecast, the seas that area SE of the aforementioned line
will subside by Mon morning. Afterward, a high building eastward 
will support gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas for the 
central and eastern Gulf. For the western Gulf, a period of fresh 
to strong southerly winds are anticipated from Mon evening through
Tue morning. Another cold front is expected to enter the northern
Gulf on Wed, then sweep southward across the Gulf through Thu 
night. The front will bring fresh to strong northerly winds and 
rough seas.

...CARIBBEAN SEA... 

A strong Arctic cold front extends from the central Atlantic to 
just NW of Puerto Rico, continuing southwest to near 11N77W. 
Strong to near gale-force NW to N winds and rough seas follow the 
front to near 84W while fresh winds are west of 84W. Seas to 12 ft
are within the area of the strong to near gale force winds. Seas 
of 8 to 10 ft in N swell are within the area of fresh winds. 
Moderate to fresh trades are E of front S of 14N and 70W, and 
light to gentle E to SE winds are N of 14N and E of 70W. Seas are 
4 to 6 ft across these areas of the basin. satellite imagery 
shows scattered moderate convection along and near the front N of 
15N, and also S of 15N between 71W and 75W.

For the forecast, the Arctic cold front will move across Puerto 
Rico and the Virgin Islands on Mon, will stall from the northern 
Leeward Islands to the south-central Caribbean Mon night into Tue 
morning and dissipate Tue night. Strong to near-gale force N to NE
winds and rough seas behind this front will gradually shift 
eastward from the western Caribbean to the central Caribbean 
through Tue. Winds and seas are forecast to gradually diminish 
across the central Caribbean by Wed evening. On Thu, another cold 
front is expected to approach the NW Caribbean and cause building 
seas and winds there toward the next weekend. 

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please see the Special Features section for details on an ongoing
Gale Warning for sections of the western Atlantic.

Elsewhere, a cold front enters the far eastern Atlantic near 31N18W 
and continue to 27N30W, where it transitions to a weakening 
stationary front to near 26N36W. Moderate to fresh W to NW winds are 
W of the front to near 30W and N of 28N. Seas are in the range of 7 
to 10 ft (2 to 3 M) in NW swell with these winds. The weather 
pattern for the rest of the basin is basically controlled by a 1027 
mb high center analyzed N of the area near 33N37W. Its related 
gradient is generally allowing for mostly fresh trades to exist S of 
24N and E of the Leeward Islands. Seas are in the range of 8 to 10 
ft (2.5 to 3 M) in NE to E swell over this area. Latest 
scatterometer satellite data passes indicate moderate or weaker 
winds across the remainder of the basin. Latest altimeter satellite 
data passes and buoy observations reveal that rough seas cover the 
majority of the remainder of the waters, slightly lower from 25N to 
28N E of 51W to vicinity of the Canary Islands and the coast of 
Africa.

For the forecast west of 55W, aside from the Special Features 
outlook on seas conditions associated to cold front mentioned
above, another cold front is forecast to move off the southeastern 
U.S. coast on Thu, resulting in building winds and seas north of 
25N through the next weekend. Mariners are urged to remain 
cautious through Mon, and stay up to date with the latest 
forecasts. 

$$
Aguirre