000
WTPZ33 KNHC 290845
TCPEP3
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Rachel Advisory Number   9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP182026
300 AM CST Tue Sep 29 2026
 
...RACHEL EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
SO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 300 AM CST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.7N 104.3W
ABOUT 265 MI...430 KM SSW OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO
ABOUT 405 MI...650 KM SSE OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Coast of southwestern Mexico from Punta San Telmo to Playa Perula
 
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Coast of southwestern Mexico north of Playa Perula to Cabo
Corrientes
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
 
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 300 AM CST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rachel was
located near latitude 14.7 North, longitude 104.3 West. Rachel is
moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h).  A generally 
northwestward motion at a slower forward speed is expected during 
the next few days.  On the forecast track, the center of Rachel is 
predicted to move parallel to, but stay offshore of, the coast of 
southwestern Mexico.

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual strengthening is expected during the next few days, and 
Rachel is forecast to become a hurricane during the next day or
so.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb (29.30 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Rachel can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP3 and WMO header WTPZ43 KNHC.
 
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area
later today.  Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch
area by tonight or Wednesday.
 
RAINFALL: Rachel is expected to produce rainfall totals of 3 to 6 
inches, with isolated maximum totals of 8 inches across coastal 
portions of the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoacán and Colima. 
This rainfall may produce flooding and mudslides, especially in 
areas of steep terrain.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with 
Rachel, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall 
Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep3.shtml?rainqpf
 
SURF: Swells generated by Rachel will affect portions of the
southwestern coast of Mexico during the next couple of days and
spread northward through midweek. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 600 AM CST.
Next complete advisory at 900 AM CST.
 
$$
Forecaster Pasch